| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Conference Paper (Conference Proceedings) |
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/09.17.11.05 |
| Last Update | 2004:08.12.03.00.00 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/09.17.11.05.12 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.26.18.02.53 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-12123-PRE/7469 |
| Citation Key | SismanogluSetz:2004:AvRePr |
| Title | Avaliação regional dos prognósticos do risco de fogo semanal CPTEC aplicando o modelo "ETA" e dados observacionais na América do Sul  |
| Format | CD-ROM, On-line. |
| Year | 2004 |
| Access Date | 2024, June 18 |
| Secondary Type | PRE CN |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 138 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Sismanoglu, Raffi Agop 2 Setzer, Alberto Waingort |
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGGG |
| Group | 1 DSA-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Centro de Previsão do Tempo e Estudos Climáticos (INPE.CPTEC) |
| e-Mail Address | fabia@cptec.inpe.br |
| Conference Name | Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 13. |
| Conference Location | Fortaleza |
| Date | 29 ago.- 03 set. |
| Publisher | SBMET |
| Book Title | Anais |
| Tertiary Type | Posters |
| Organization | SBMET |
| History (UTC) | 2005-06-28 12:20:57 :: Fabia -> administrator :: 2008-06-10 21:21:32 :: administrator -> estagiario :: 2010-05-11 16:54:50 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2022-03-26 18:02:53 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2004 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Abstract | Adaptou-se o método de cálculo dos mapas diários de risco de fogo do Cptec para estimar médias semanais do risco futuro (RFF) ao longo de períodos de um mês. Aplicou-se a previsão do modelo "Eta Climático" combinada com a atualização semanal de dados de superfície observados. Estudou-se a América do Sul (AS), regionalizada em sete setores. A avaliação do RFF determinou a porcentagem de acertos dos focos de queima em relação ao risco previsto, e ocorridos na primeira semana da atualização dos dados de superfície; considerou-se os níveis elevados de risco Médio, Alto e Crítico. As regiões de melhor desempenho do RFF foram no centro e nordeste do país, e no Pará, com acertos nos períodos mais críticos das queimadas antrópicas de 99%, 92% e 90%, respectivamente. Outras regiões de concordância entre o RFF e os focos acumulados, foram a Amazônia, Roraima e o norte da AS, com cerca de 67% de acertos. O setor sul da AS e as regiões sul e sudeste do Brasil apresentaram resultados satisfatórios, cujos índices de acertos variaram entre 73% e 90%. Apesar de não se dispor da climatologia do Eta, os resultados do RFF semanal mostram tendência aceitável do desempenho do modelo. ABSTRACT: The method used by CPTEC/INPE to calculate Fire Risk maps for the burning of the vegetation on a daily basis was adapted to generate weekly averages of future risk (FFR). The “ETA” climatic model with monthly forecasts were used with weekly updates of observed weather data. The area studied was South America (SA), divided in seven regions. Evaluation of the FFR for one week was based in the percentage of fire occurrences during one week in areas of elevated risk classes of the Medium, High and Critic levels. Regions with the best performance of the FFR were those in the center and northeast of Brazil, and in the state of Pará, for the periods of intensive anthropic burning when rates of 99%, 92% and 90% were obtained, respectively. Other regions presented good agreement between the weekly FFR and the cumulative fires were Amazonia, the state of Roraima in particular, and the north of SA, with about 67% agreement. The south sector of SA and the south and southeast of Brazil presented results also considered satisfactory, varying from 73% to 90%. Despite the lack of ETA climatology for the regions studied, the weekly FFR results showed an adequate performance of the model. |
| Area | MET |
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDSA > Avaliação regional dos... |
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > Avaliação regional dos... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/09.17.11.05 |
| zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/09.17.11.05 |
| Language | pt |
| Target File | 0000000639.doc |
| User Group | Fabia administrator |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SRC6S 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 |
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.03.02.10 2 |
| Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi edition editor electronicmailaddress identifier isbn issn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisheraddress readergroup readpermission rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark type url versiontype volume |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |